France vs Spain: Prediction?

Group I · Tuesday, July 14 at 03:00 PM EDT

France vs Spain

France

0 - 2

Spain

Live commentary

90'
🏁 Full-time. France 0-2 Spain.
86'
🟨 86' Yellow card for Kylian Mbappé (France).
84'
🔄 84' Substitution for Spain: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez.
84'
🔄 84' Substitution for Spain: Pedro Porro.
83'
📺 83' VAR review: Corner cancelled.
83'
📊 France vs Spain: possession 48%-52%, shots 6-9.
78'
🔄 78' Substitution for Spain: Fabián Ruiz.
78'
🔄 78' Substitution for Spain: Daniel Olmo Carvajal.
74'
🔄 74' Substitution for Spain: Mikel Oyarzabal.
72'
🔄 72' Substitution for France: Michael Olise.
72'
🔄 72' Substitution for France: Lucas Digne.
60'
📊 France vs Spain: possession 46%-54%, shots 2-8.
58'
⚽ GOAL! 58' Pedro Porro (Spain) scores! France 0-2 Spain.
58'
⚽ GOAL! 58' Pedro Porro (Spain) scores! France 0-2 Spain.
57'
🔄 57' Substitution for France: Bradley Barcola.
45'
⏸️ Half-time. France 0-1 Spain.
45'
🔄 45' Substitution for France: Adrien Rabiot.
35'
📊 France vs Spain: possession 43%-57%, shots 1-3.
31'
🟨 31' Yellow card for Marc Cucurella (Spain).
30'
🔄 30' Substitution for France: William Saliba.
22'
⚽ GOAL! 22' Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) scores from the penalty! France 0-1 Spain.
22'
⚽ GOAL! 22' Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) (penalty) scores! France 0-1 Spain.
9'
🟨 9' Yellow card for Adrien Rabiot (France).
0'
⚽ Kick-off! France vs Spain is underway.

Goal highlights

Official highlights

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Head to Head

France

Draws

Spain

France 0-2 Spain2026

Prediction

France vs Spain: A Clash of Titans Set for a Draw

The stage is set for a European heavyweight battle in the 2026 World Cup, as France and Spain prepare to lock horns in what promises to be one of the most tightly contested fixtures of the tournament. Our statistical model—blending Elo ratings with Poisson distribution—paints a picture of a finely balanced encounter: France hold a 42% chance of emerging victorious, while Spain are rated at 30%. The most likely outcome? A draw, with a 28% probability. The model’s projected scoreline? 1-1—a result carrying a 13.1% likelihood. Other top-scoring

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